Here are the expert picks for the College Football Playoff First Round games scheduled for Saturday, December 21, 2024:
1. No. 11 SMU Mustangs at No. 6 Penn State Nittany Lions
• Moneyline: Penn State (-350), SMU (+280)
• Spread: Penn State -9.5
• Over/Under: 56.5 points
• Pick: Penn State to win and cover; under 56.5 points
• Reasoning: Penn State’s dominant defense and strong run game should overwhelm SMU’s offense. The game is expected to be low-scoring, with Penn State controlling the pace.
2. No. 12 Clemson Tigers at No. 5 Texas Longhorns
• Moneyline: Texas (-200), Clemson (+170)
• Spread: Texas -5.5
• Over/Under: 63.5 points
• Pick: Texas to win and cover; over 63.5 points
• Reasoning: Texas’ high-powered offense, led by an elite quarterback and a balanced attack, is likely to outscore Clemson in a shootout. Clemson’s defense may struggle against Texas’ speed on the outside.
3. No. 9 Tennessee Volunteers at No. 8 Ohio State Buckeyes
• Moneyline: Ohio State (-150), Tennessee (+130)
• Spread: Ohio State -3.5
• Over/Under: 58.0 points
• Pick: Tennessee to win; over 58.0 points
• Reasoning: Tennessee’s up-tempo offense could cause issues for Ohio State’s secondary. This matchup has upset potential, with Tennessee’s dynamic passing game giving them the edge in a high-scoring affair.
Parlay Option
1. Penn State -9.5
2. Texas -5.5
3. Tennessee +3.5
• Odds: Approx. +600
• $10 Bet Payout: ~$70
Best Single Bet
• Game: Clemson vs. Texas
• Bet: Over 63.5 points
• Reasoning: Both offenses are among the best in the nation, and neither defense is likely to completely contain the other. Expect a shootout.
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